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Sangiuliano City vs Pro Sesto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Banfi S.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Mapelli F.
90' Event
De Cecco M.

AI Match Summary

Pro Sesto in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sangiuliano City
20%
Draws
61%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pro Sesto lately — more wins on the board than Sangiuliano City.
  • Win probability leans Pro Sesto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 16%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Pro Sesto
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Sangiuliano City
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Sangiuliano City
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Pro Sesto
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Sangiuliano City vs Pro Sesto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cecco M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mapelli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiuliano City's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pro Sesto has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Sangiuliano City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS Pro Sesto
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiuliano City

(Home)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
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Pro Sesto

(Away)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)