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Sangiustese vs Vastese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Marches
31' Event
Palumbo C.
43'
Buonaventura A.

AI Match Summary

Vastese in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vastese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
15%
Draws
85%
Vastese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Vastese have won more games recently than Sangiustese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%
Vastese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Vastese
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 3 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Vastese
1:2
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Sangiustese
2:1
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Sangiustese
0:1
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Vastese
3:0
Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Sangiustese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiustese Compare

Top Goalscorer Marches
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vastese Compare

Top Goalscorer Palumbo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 31 / 100
Vastese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Vastese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiustese's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Vastese let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Vastese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vastese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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Vastese

(Away)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
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