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Sangonera vs AD Merida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda Division B - Group 2 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sangonera in this Segunda Division B - Group 2 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangonera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sangonera
20%
Draws
22%
AD Merida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sangonera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Merida have won more games recently than Sangonera.
  • Model gives Sangonera a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division B - Group 2 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sangonera Clean Sheet 20%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangonera AD Merida
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sangonera vs AD Merida
1:0
Sep 20, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
AD Merida vs Sangonera
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangonera 58 / 100
AD Merida 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangonera AD Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangonera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangonera's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AD Merida let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sangonera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

AD Merida's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Merida
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangonera

(Home)
09 May
Sangonera
1 : 0
Ecija
02 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 0
Sangonera
25 Apr
Sangonera
2 : 1
Sevilla B
18 Apr
CD Estepona
3 : 2
Sangonera
14 Apr
Sangonera
1 : 1
Jaen
Page 1 of 6

AD Merida

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cartagena SAD 38 20 13 5 60:28 73
2 Lorca Deportiva 38 20 9 9 58:34 69
3 Alcorcon 38 16 18 4 61:34 66
4 Leganes 38 18 12 8 51:37 66
5 Real Murcia B 38 18 11 9 41:32 65
6 Real Madrid B 38 18 9 11 60:45 63
7 AD Merida 38 17 11 10 50:34 62
8 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 16 14 8 39:27 62
9 Sangonera 38 13 17 8 46:37 56
10 Aguilas (inactive) 38 15 10 13 43:44 55
11 Vecindario 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
12 Univ. Las Palmas 38 12 12 14 32:45 48
13 Atl. Madrid B 38 12 11 15 43:44 47
14 Lanzarote 38 10 10 18 40:57 40
15 Fuerteventura 38 11 6 21 45:66 39
16 Las Palmas B 38 10 8 20 38:54 38
17 Navalcarnero 38 10 7 21 37:55 37
18 Pajara Playas 38 8 11 19 38:55 35
19 Alfaro 38 8 8 22 31:55 32
20 Villa Santa Brigida 38 5 11 22 33:60 26
Relegation - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Play Out)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Winners Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Losers Play Offs)