Sport Picks
Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AD Marco 09 have won more games recently than Sanjoanense.
- Win probability leans Sanjoanense's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanjoanense | AD Marco 09 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanjoanense Compare
AD Marco 09 Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanjoanense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
AD Marco 09 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Sanjoanense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.
