Sport Picks
Sanjoanense vs Braga B
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira 
Match Events
32'
32'
Goncalves J.
49'
49'
Ferreira T.
57'
57'
Sub
Ferreira T. In: Pinto L. T.
Out: Ferreira T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Sanjoanense and Braga B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Sanjoanense haven't matched Braga B's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 20%
Braga B Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanjoanense | Braga B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sanjoanense
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Braga B
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Braga B
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sanjoanense
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sanjoanense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanjoanense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Braga B Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kauan Kelvin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanjoanense 32 / 100
Braga B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanjoanense Braga B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanjoanense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Braga B has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Sanjoanense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sanjoanense VS Braga B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanjoanense
(Home) 20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4 Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0 Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1 FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0 Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1 Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1 FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0 Pacos de Brandao
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1 Beira Mar
18 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 1 AD Fafe
15 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 3 FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 4
Braga B
(Away) 13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2 CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1 Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3 Braga B
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
