Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sanjoanense in this Taça de Portugal 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanjoanense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Sanjoanense haven't matched Nogueirense's recent run of results.
- Sanjoanense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Nogueirense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nogueirense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Nogueirense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanjoanense | Nogueirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Sanjoanense vs Nogueirense
2:0
Apr 9, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Nogueirense vs Sanjoanense
1:0
Feb 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sanjoanense vs Nogueirense
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanjoanense 95 / 100
Nogueirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanjoanense Nogueirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanjoanense scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Nogueirense has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sanjoanense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sanjoanense VS Nogueirense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanjoanense
(Home) 20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4 Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0 Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1 FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0 Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1 Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1 FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0 Pacos de Brandao
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1 Beira Mar
18 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 1 AD Fafe
15 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 3 FC Felgueiras
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Nogueirense
(Away) 13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3 Nogueirense
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1 Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3 Naval 1893
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3 Nogueirense
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1 Sertanense
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13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3 Nogueirense
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3 Nogueirense
12 May
Vilafranquense
2 : 1 Nogueirense
28 Apr
Leiria
4 : 0 Nogueirense
14 Apr
Sertanense
1 : 2 Nogueirense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
Nogueirense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
SC Vila Real 2
Amora 3
Louletano 2
Regua 2
Lamego 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha -
TBD -
Meda 0
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra -
TBD -
Valenciano 0
AD Limianos 4
Sao Martinho 6
Machico 1
Lusitano FCV 2
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Uniao SC 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vale Formoso -
Anadia 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Praia Milfontes 0
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 2
UC Idanhense 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Amarante FC 6
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vila Flor -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
Alverca 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 2
Leca 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas -
TBD -
Mirandes 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 3
CDC Montalegre 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 1
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
Trofense 1
Vizela 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Praiense 3
Redondense 0
Vale Formoso 0
Pinhalnovense 5
SC Lourinhanense -
TBD -
Gafetense 0
Santa Iria 8
FC Felgueiras 9
Vila Flor 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Alcains 0
Beneditense 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
Portalegrense -
Cacadores Taipas 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Agueda 2
Trancoso 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Louletano -
Oriental 3
FC Barreirense 1
Ferreiras 0
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 2
SC Lourinhanense 1
TBD -
CDC Montalegre -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Sintrense 2
1º Dezembro 1
Cinfaes 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Lusitania FC 1
Vieira 1
Merelinense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
CD Torres Novas 0
TBD -
Uniao SC -
Valenciano -
TBD -
TBD -
Praia Milfontes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Sporting Ideal 0
Pedras Rubras 1
SC Mirandela 2
Moura AC 1
Almancilense 0
Coimbroes 0
Rio Tinto 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 6
Graciosa FC 0
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Montijo 1
Vila Silgueiros -
TBD -
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SC Angrense 3
Gafanha 2
Vila Silgueiros 0
Vilafranquense 0
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 3
Macao 2
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense 2
CD Gouveia 0
Coutada 0
Torreense 2
Chaves B 6
Vinhais 1
SC Vianense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes -
TBD -
Olhanense 0
Silves FC 1
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 6
Portalegrense 1
Fatima 0
Oleiros 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
SC Vila Real 3
Amora 8
Lamego 0
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha 2
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra 1
AD Limianos 2
Sao Martinho 1
Beira Mar 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Mirandes 2
Leiria 0
Vale Formoso 3
Anadia 3
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 0
Vilafranquense 3
Amarante FC 5
Vila Flor 0
Leca 0
Leixoes 3
Aves -
TBD -
Varzim 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 1
Academica 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Trofense 2
Penafiel 3
SC Praiense 5
Pinhalnovense 1
SC Lourinhanense 1
Santa Iria 3
FC Felgueiras 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Sertanense 3
SC Farense 3
Portalegrense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
Arouca 1
Agueda 1
Famalicao 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Louletano 1
Oriental 3
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 1
CDC Montalegre 3
Boavista -
TBD -
Oliveirense 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
Alverca 0
Sintrense 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Merelinense 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Uniao SC 4
Valenciano 5
Praia Milfontes 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 4
Rio Tinto 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 2
Montijo 0
Vila Silgueiros 0
SC Angrense 2
Gafanha 2
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Eirense 0
Torreense 3
Chaves B 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 1
Oleiros 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 6
SC Vila Real 0
Amora 3
BSAD 4
Covilha 2
AD Limianos 0
Sao Martinho 0
Moreirense 1
Tondela 2
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Vale Formoso 4
Anadia 4
Vilafranquense 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 3
Aves 3
Sacavenense 1
Portimonense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara 2
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 1
Chaves 4
Vitoria Setubal 2
Armacenenses 1
AD Fafe 0
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 2
Santa Iria 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Braga 1
Benfica 3
Sertanense 0
SC Farense 1
Arouca 3
Agueda 1
Louletano 0
Oriental 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Boavista 4
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
SC Espinho 4
U. Madeira 2
Uniao SC 0
Valenciano 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 7
Feirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 0
Maritimo 1
Casa Pia 2
SC Angrense 1
Gafanha 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Rio Ave 5
Torreense 1
Chaves B 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 4
Nacional 3
GS Loures 1
Sporting CP 2
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
BSAD 0
Covilha 0
Moreirense 3
Tondela 7
Vale Formoso 0
Anadia 0
Leixoes 1
Aves 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Santa Clara 1
Chaves 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 1
Braga 2
Benfica 2
Arouca 1
Agueda 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Boavista 4
SC Espinho 0
U. Madeira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 3
Maritimo 0
Casa Pia 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 7
Silves FC 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Moreirense 3
Tondela 2
Leixoes 3
Aves 2
Chaves 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 1
Benfica 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Feirense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Sporting CP 5
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Leixoes 1
Aves 1
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Feirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 4
Braga 1
Benfica 2
Sporting CP 2
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 3
