Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio Conde Dias Garcia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Firmino H.
(Penalty)
18'
Pinheiro Edu
45' Event
Couto J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Sanjoanense and Sao Joao de Ver finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sanjoanense
40%
Draws
29%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Joao de Ver carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 17%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanense Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao de Ver
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Couto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 31 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanense Sao Joao de Ver

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sanjoanense scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sao Joao de Ver has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Sanjoanense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS Sao Joao de Ver
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%