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Sanjoanenses vs FC Derby

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Evora B.

AI Match Summary

FC Derby in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Derby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sanjoanenses
30%
Draws
34%
FC Derby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanjoanenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Derby have won more games recently than Sanjoanenses.
  • Win probability leans Sanjoanenses's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 18%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanenses FC Derby
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Sanjoanenses
0:0
May 19, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs FC Derby
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanenses Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Derby Compare

Top Goalscorer Evora B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 36 / 100
FC Derby 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanenses FC Derby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanenses scored in 60% of their last 20 games.

FC Derby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Sanjoanenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanenses VS FC Derby
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanenses

(Home)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
Page 1 of 4

FC Derby

(Away)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico do Sal63129:810
2Academica do Fogo622211:68
3Rosariense62225:78
4Juventude61328:126
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira633013:512
2Morabeza62317:79
3Barreirense62228:88
4GD Varandinha60247:152
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia651012:216
2FC Derby63217:411
3Ultramarina61145:134
4Sanjoanenses60243:82
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams