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Sanjoanenses vs Vulcanico Clube - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Sanjoanenses and Vulcanico Clube finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vulcanico Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sanjoanenses
35%
Draws
30%
Vulcanico Clube
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sanjoanenses carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sanjoanenses a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 16%
Vulcanico Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanenses Vulcanico Clube
Matches Played 20 8
Wins 4 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 0.8 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico Clube vs Sanjoanenses
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Vulcanico Clube
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 48 / 100
Vulcanico Clube 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanenses Vulcanico Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanenses's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Vulcanico Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 8 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sanjoanenses remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanenses VS Vulcanico Clube
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanenses

(Home)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
Page 1 of 4

Vulcanico Clube

(Away)
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Vulcanico Clube
1 : 1
Sanjoanenses
04 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Vulcanico Clube
20 May
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 1
Belo Horizonte
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams