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Sanjoanenses vs Vulcanico Clube

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sanjoanenses play Vulcanico Clube in the Campeonato Nacional 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sanjoanenses averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Vulcanico Clube averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sanjoanenses won 0, Vulcanico Clube won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 11, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Sanjoanenses and 1.50 for Vulcanico Clube. This points to a Vulcanico Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sanjoanenses
28%
Draws
22%
Vulcanico Clube
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sanjoanenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sanjoanenses has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vulcanico Clube.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Sanjoanenses.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Nacional 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 16%
Vulcanico Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanenses Vulcanico Clube
Matches Played 20 8
Wins 4 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico Clube vs Sanjoanenses
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Vulcanico Clube
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 48 / 100
Vulcanico Clube 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanenses Vulcanico Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanenses scored in 60% of their last 20 games.

Vulcanico Clube let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sanjoanenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vulcanico Clube lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanenses VS Vulcanico Clube
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense64206:014
2Travadores630310:69
3Santo Crucifixo62134:67
4Juventude61144:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira640210:612
2Vulcanico Clube63218:511
3Belo Horizonte61235:105
4Sanjoanenses61237:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica do Mindelo641113:713
2Morabeza62406:410
3Figueirense61238:115
4GD Varandinha60336:113