Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanluqueno vs Alcorcon

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Aparicio E.
15'
Navarro D.
35'
Rodri

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sanluqueno
35%
Draws
24%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanluqueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alcorcon have won more games recently than Sanluqueno.
  • Sanluqueno are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Alcorcon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sanluqueno Clean Sheet 19%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanluqueno Alcorcon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sanluqueno vs Alcorcon
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Sanluqueno
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Sanluqueno
3:1
Dec 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sanluqueno vs Alcorcon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanluqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanluqueno 36 / 100
Alcorcon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanluqueno Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sanluqueno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sanluqueno's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sanluqueno VS Alcorcon
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanluqueno

(Home)
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
28 Aug
Sanluqueno
0 : 3
Betis B
22 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Sanluqueno
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Alcorcon

(Away)
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1
Alcorcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)