Sport Picks

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Sanremese vs Asti Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Sacco N.

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sanremese
20%
Draws
40%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Asti Calcio haven't matched Sanremese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Asti Calcio
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Sanremese
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Sanremese
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Asti Calcio
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Asti Calcio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacco N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 68 / 100
Asti Calcio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sanremese scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Asti Calcio conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sanremese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS Asti Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

Asti Calcio

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)