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Sansovino vs Siena

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sansovino and Siena finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sansovino
30%
Draws
54%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siena come out ahead of Sansovino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sansovino Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sansovino Siena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.73 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Sansovino vs Siena
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sansovino 10 / 100
Siena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sansovino Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Siena conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Sansovino's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sansovino went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sansovino VS Siena
1 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sansovino

(Home)
19 Aug
Sansovino
1 : 3
Siena
04 May
Sansovino
0 : 2
Giulianova
27 Apr
Viterbese
1 : 1
Sansovino
20 Apr
Sansovino
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
13 Apr
Spal
2 : 2
Sansovino
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Siena

(Away)
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
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