Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Amalia vs Diter Zafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 game between Santa Amalia and Diter Zafra finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Amalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Santa Amalia
30%
Draws
0%
Diter Zafra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Amalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Santa Amalia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Amalia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 10%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia Diter Zafra
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.07 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Diter Zafra
2:1
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Santa Amalia
0:1
Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Diter Zafra
5:2
Sep 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Santa Amalia
2:0
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Santa Amalia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 83 / 100
Diter Zafra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia Diter Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Amalia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diter Zafra let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Diter Zafra has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Santa Amalia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 8

Diter Zafra

(Away)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 9 2 106:25 90
2 CD Badajoz 38 26 9 3 90:25 87
3 Arroyo 38 25 9 4 78:23 84
4 Jerez CF 38 24 9 5 69:24 81
5 Don Benito 38 18 12 8 53:39 66
6 CD Azuaga 38 17 11 10 75:47 62
7 CD Calamonte 38 20 2 16 68:66 62
8 Pueblonuevo 38 16 11 11 49:41 59
9 CD Coria 38 14 10 14 56:44 52
10 Diter Zafra 38 13 8 17 45:65 47
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 13 7 18 39:59 46
12 Moralo 38 11 12 15 53:58 45
13 Fuente de Cantos 38 12 9 17 46:66 45
14 CP Valdivia 38 12 7 19 34:63 43
15 Olivenza FC 38 8 10 20 38:61 34
16 CP Amanecer 38 7 13 18 35:66 34
17 Santa Amalia 38 7 10 21 35:70 31
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 4 25 36:83 31
19 Valdelacalzada 38 7 8 23 29:71 29
20 Deportivo Pacense 38 6 6 26 42:80 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)