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Santa Amalia vs Don Benito

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Club Friendly 2025
Sun, Aug 31, 2025
2 - 1
05:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

Santa Amalia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Amalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Amalia
6%
Draws
90%
Don Benito
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Amalia haven't matched Don Benito's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Don Benito taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Don Benito here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 10%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia Don Benito
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs Santa Amalia
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Don Benito
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Santa Amalia vs Don Benito
2:1
Oct 3, 2020 Club Friendly
Santa Amalia vs Don Benito
1:5
Mar 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Don Benito
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 10 / 100
Don Benito 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia Don Benito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Amalia scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Don Benito conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Santa Amalia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS Don Benito
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%