Sport Picks
Santa Amalia vs Moralo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
34'
34'
Gonzalez J.
81'
81'
Trawally U.
90'
90'
Petang A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Santa Amalia and Moralo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moralo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Amalia haven't matched Moralo's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 20%
Moralo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Moralo
1:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Moralo
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Santa Amalia
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Santa Amalia
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Moralo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Amalia Compare
Top Goalscorer Trawally U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Moralo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Amalia 32 / 100
Moralo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Amalia Moralo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Santa Amalia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Santa Amalia scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Moralo let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Amalia VS Moralo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Amalia
(Home) 27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
Page 1 of 3
Moralo
(Away) 04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1 Gevora
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0 CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0 Moralo
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1 Moralo
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | SP Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
