Sport Picks
Santa Amalia vs Pueblonuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
7'
7'
Trawally U.
25'
25'
Lozano M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Santa Amalia and Pueblonuevo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Amalia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pueblonuevo come out ahead of Santa Amalia on wins alone.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Santa Amalia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Santa Amalia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 68%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Pueblonuevo
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Pueblonuevo
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Santa Amalia
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Pueblonuevo
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Santa Amalia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Amalia Compare
Top Goalscorer Trawally U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Pueblonuevo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lozano M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Amalia 95 / 100
Pueblonuevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Amalia Pueblonuevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Amalia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pueblonuevo conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Santa Amalia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Santa Amalia scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Santa Amalia VS Pueblonuevo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Amalia
(Home) 27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
Page 1 of 3
Pueblonuevo
(Away) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | SP Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
