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Santa Amalia vs Quintana

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cantio
45'
Rodriguez J.
61'
Vola D.

AI Match Summary

Santa Amalia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Amalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Santa Amalia
35%
Draws
30%
Quintana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Quintana haven't matched Santa Amalia's recent run of results.
  • Santa Amalia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 68%
Quintana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia Quintana
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 6 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.93 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Quintana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Amalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trawally U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Quintana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 77 / 100
Quintana 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia Quintana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Amalia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quintana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santa Amalia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Santa Amalia found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS Quintana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.4
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 40%
75% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6

Quintana

(Away)
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Moralo 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
6 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Gevora 4 2 1 1 7:8 7
8 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
9 Villanovense 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
10 Cabeza del Buey 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
11 Jaraiz 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
14 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
15 Montijo 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Pueblonuevo 4 0 2 2 5:10 2
17 Guadiana 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
18 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)