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Santa Amalia vs SP Villafranca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Rivas Villafruela B.
90' Event
Guerrero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Santa Amalia and SP Villafranca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Amalia
6%
Draws
90%
SP Villafranca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SP Villafranca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SP Villafranca a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 10%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia SP Villafranca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs SP Villafranca
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Santa Amalia
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs SP Villafranca
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Santa Amalia
2:0
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Santa Amalia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Amalia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SP Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas Villafruela B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 10 / 100
SP Villafranca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia SP Villafranca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Amalia scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

SP Villafranca let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Santa Amalia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS SP Villafranca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
Moralo
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6

SP Villafranca

(Away)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0
Don Benito
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 Apr
SP Villafranca
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)