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Santa Ana vs Aserri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Gutierrez K.

AI Match Summary

Santa Ana in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Ana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Santa Ana
15%
Draws
37%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Ana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Ana lately — more wins on the board than Aserri.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 20%
Aserri Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Ana Aserri
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Santa Ana
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Aserri
1:0
Mar 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Aserri
3:2
Feb 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Santa Ana
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Santa Ana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Ana Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aserri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Ana 31 / 100
Aserri 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Ana Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Ana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Ana scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Aserri has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Santa Ana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Ana VS Aserri
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Ana

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2
Santa Ana
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 5

Aserri

(Away)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)