Sport Picks

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Santa Ana vs Aserri

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 Estadio de Piedades, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hurlston S.
13' Event
Hernandez D.
36' Event
Douglas T.

AI Match Summary

Santa Ana in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Ana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Santa Ana
15%
Draws
53%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Ana lately — more wins on the board than Aserri.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 20%
Aserri Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Ana Aserri
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 3 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Santa Ana
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Aserri
1:0
Mar 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Aserri
3:2
Feb 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Santa Ana
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Santa Ana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Ana Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurlston S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coll K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Ana 32 / 100
Aserri 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Ana Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Ana scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Aserri has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Santa Ana went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Ana VS Aserri
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Ana

(Home)
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
01 Sept
Pitbulls
2 : 0
Santa Ana
Page 1 of 5

Aserri

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)