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Santa Catalina Atletico vs Alcudia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Santa Catalina Atletico and Alcudia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Catalina Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santa Catalina Atletico
15%
Draws
51%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 25%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Catalina Atletico Alcudia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Alcudia
1:0
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santa Catalina Atletico
0:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Alcudia
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Catalina Atletico 37 / 100
Alcudia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Catalina Atletico Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Catalina Atletico scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Alcudia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Alcudia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcudia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Catalina Atletico

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
1 : 1
Soller
30 May
Cardassar
4 : 2
Santa Catalina Atletico
23 May
Santa Catalina Atletico
1 : 2
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

Alcudia

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)