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Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Catalina Atletico in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Catalina Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Catalina Atletico
40%
Draws
29%
Ferriolense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferriolense average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Santa Catalina Atletico's 1.25.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 11%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Catalina Atletico Ferriolense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense
4:1
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
4:1
Jan 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:0
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Catalina Atletico 30 / 100
Ferriolense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Catalina Atletico Ferriolense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferriolense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Santa Catalina Atletico found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Ferriolense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Catalina Atletico VS Ferriolense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%