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Santa Catalina Atletico vs Genova

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Catalina Atletico play Genova in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Catalina Atletico averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Genova averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Catalina Atletico won 1, Genova won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Santa Catalina Atletico and 1.69 for Genova. This points to a Santa Catalina Atletico double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Catalina Atletico
27%
Draws
33%
Genova
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Santa Catalina Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Catalina Atletico picked up more points recently compared to Genova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 13%
Genova Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Catalina Atletico Genova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Genova
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Catalina Atletico 39 / 100
Genova 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Catalina Atletico Genova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Catalina Atletico or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Catalina Atletico attacking → ← attacking Genova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Catalina Atletico scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Genova let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Catalina Atletico went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Genova lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 21
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75