Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck, Rio do Sul

Santa Catarina

Sat, Jun 27, 2026

1 - 2

06:00 PM

EC Sao Jose (PA)

Our Tip

Match Events

67'

Tiago Pedra

70'

Alex Goncalves

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with EC Sao Jose (PA) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Santa Catarina

39%

Draws

31%

EC Sao Jose (PA)

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Santa Catarina carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Santa Catarina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor EC Sao Jose (PA), who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 68%

EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santa Catarina	EC Sao Jose (PA)
Matches Played	30	24
Wins	14	8
Draws	7	9
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.38	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D

Santa Catarina vs EC Sao Jose (PA)

1:2

Jun 21, 2026 Serie D

EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Santa Catarina

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Catarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Goncalves

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Pedra

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Catarina 41 / 100

EC Sao Jose (PA) 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santa Catarina EC Sao Jose (PA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Catarina found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santa Catarina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

EC Sao Jose (PA) let in goals in 54% of their last 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Catarina VS EC Sao Jose (PA)

1.38 Goals Scored 0.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38

50% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Catarina

(Home)

27 Jun

Santa Catarina

1 : 2

EC Sao Jose (PA)

21 Jun

EC Sao Jose (PA)

1 : 1

Santa Catarina

07 Jun

Santa Catarina

1 : 0

FC Cascavel

31 May

Cianorte

1 : 3

Santa Catarina

23 May

Santa Catarina

1 : 0

Sao Luiz

Page 1 of 6

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Away)

18 Jul

EC Sao Jose (PA)

2 : 1

Treze PB

12 Jul

Portuguesa RJ

0 : 0

EC Sao Jose (PA)

04 Jul

EC Sao Jose (PA)

1 : 0

Portuguesa RJ

27 Jun

Santa Catarina

1 : 2

EC Sao Jose (PA)

21 Jun

EC Sao Jose (PA)

1 : 1

Santa Catarina

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Independencia Futebol Clube1

Manauara3

Brasiliense0

Goiatuba EC1

Imperatriz2

Maracana1

Central SC1

Ferroviario3

Fluminense-PI0

America RN4

Sampaio Correa2

Trem3

Sao Raimundo RR2

Porto Velho3

Mixto1

Gama3

Monte Roraima3

Guapore4

Ceilandia2

Luverdense3

Parnahyba2

Aguia De Maraba3

AE Altos1

ABC2

Araguaina0

Nacional-AM (Manaus)1

Aparecidense1

Capital5

Tuna Luso2

Iguatu3

Maguary2

Piaui1

Portuguesa RJ4

Noroeste2

EC Sao Jose (PA)3

Santa Catarina2

Jacuipense1

Treze PB3

CRAC1

Tombense0

Serra Branca3

Juazeirense0

Rio Branco ES2

Uberlandia4

Sampaio Correa FE1

Portuguesa2

FC Cascavel3

Marcilio Dias4

Sao Luiz3

Blumenau2

Velo Clube2

Agua Santa1

Lagarto1

CSA3

Vitoria ES1

Betim FC2

America RJ1

Piracicaba3

Sao Joseense1

Cianorte2

ASA2

Sergipe1

Ivinhema4

Democrata GV2

1/16-finals

Manauara2

Goiatuba EC3

Imperatriz1

Ferroviario4

America RN6

Trem2

Porto Velho2

Gama3

Guapore0

Luverdense1

Aguia De Maraba2

ABC4

Nacional-AM (Manaus)2

Capital1

Iguatu5

Maguary3

Portuguesa RJ0

EC Sao Jose (PA)1

Treze PB3

CRAC2

Serra Branca2

Uberlandia3

Portuguesa3

Marcilio Dias1

Sao Luiz4

Velo Clube3

CSA4

Betim FC1

Piracicaba0

Cianorte4

ASA6

Ivinhema1

1/8-finals

Goiatuba EC3

Ferroviario0

America RN1

Gama0

Luverdense0

ABC0

Nacional-AM (Manaus)1

Iguatu1

EC Sao Jose (PA)2

Treze PB1

Uberlandia2

Portuguesa0

Sao Luiz0

CSA0

Cianorte0

ASA1

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-