Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio de São Miguel
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mendes J. II.
6' Event
Lima S.
Assist: Guilherme Romao
14' Event
Charles Silva
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Santa Clara and Vitoria Guimaraes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Clara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Santa Clara
11%
Draws
9%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Santa Clara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Clara a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Clara Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:0
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Clara Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Clara 86 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Clara Vitoria Guimaraes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Clara's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Santa Clara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Clara VS Vitoria Guimaraes
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto34284266:1888
2Sporting CP34257289:2482
3Benfica342311074:2580
4Braga341611764:3659
5Famalicao341511842:2956
6Gil Vicente3413111047:3850
7Moreirense341271537:4943
8Arouca341261647:6442
9Vitoria Guimaraes341261639:5142
10Estoril341091554:5739
11Alverca341091535:5239
12Rio Ave348121435:5736
13Santa Clara34991632:4136
14Nacional34971837:4534
15Estrela da Amadora346121638:5630
16Casa Pia346121631:5730
17Tondela346101827:5528
18AFS343121927:6721