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Santa Claus vs TP-47

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Luiro J.
20' Event
Isomaki A.
38'
Mikkola J.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C 2016 game between Santa Claus and TP-47 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TP-47.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Santa Claus
15%
Draws
85%
TP-47
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TP-47

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TP-47 come out ahead of Santa Claus on wins alone.
  • Model gives TP-47 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TP-47 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Santa Claus Clean Sheet 20%
TP-47 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Claus TP-47
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.56
Goals Conceded 4.4 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2016 Suomen Cup
TP-47 vs Santa Claus
2:0
Aug 2, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
Santa Claus vs TP-47
1:3
May 14, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs Santa Claus
3:1
Aug 22, 2015 Kakkonen North
TP-47 vs Santa Claus
1:0
Jun 28, 2015 Kakkonen North
Santa Claus vs TP-47
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Claus Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

TP-47 Compare

Top Goalscorer Isomaki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pyyny J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Claus 10 / 100
TP-47 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Claus TP-47

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TP-47 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TP-47 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Santa Claus's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: TP-47 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TP-47
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Claus

(Home)
15 Apr
Santa Claus
1 : 9
OLS Oulu
14 Apr
Santa Claus
1 : 4
JS Hercules
01 Oct
Santa Claus
2 : 4
YPA
25 Sept
AC Kajaani
16 : 0
Santa Claus
17 Sept
Santa Claus
0 : 5
PPT
Page 1 of 6

TP-47

(Away)
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
11 Sept
TP-47
0 : 1
JS Hercules
06 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
1 : 3
TP-47
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
16 Aug
JBK
4 : 0
TP-47
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OPS 22 15 3 4 70:31 48
2 MuSa 22 15 3 4 51:18 48
3 AC Kajaani 22 14 3 5 84:24 45
4 GBK Kokkola 22 12 4 6 60:25 40
5 TP-47 22 11 4 7 37:34 37
6 YPA 22 10 3 9 40:36 33
7 Narpes Kraft 22 9 4 9 39:39 31
8 JS Hercules 22 8 4 10 39:41 28
9 VIFK 22 8 3 11 37:35 27
10 PPT 22 7 4 11 40:43 25
11 Santa Claus 22 2 2 18 24:102 8
12 Lapuan Virkia Lapua 22 2 1 19 23:116 7
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)