Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Claus vs YPA

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Luiro J.
31' Event
Elmi I.
49'
Alamaki E.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C 2016 game between Santa Claus and YPA finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward YPA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Santa Claus
15%
Draws
85%
YPA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: YPA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Claus haven't matched YPA's recent run of results.
  • YPA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group C 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors YPA here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santa Claus Clean Sheet 10%
YPA Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Claus YPA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.8
Goals Conceded 4.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
Santa Claus vs YPA
2:4
Jul 10, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
YPA vs Santa Claus
5:1
Aug 9, 2015 Kakkonen North
YPA vs Santa Claus
1:2
Jul 22, 2015 Kakkonen North
YPA vs Santa Claus
4:0
Jun 17, 2015 Kakkonen North
Santa Claus vs YPA
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Claus Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiro J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

YPA Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmi I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Finne E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Claus 10 / 100
YPA 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Claus YPA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Santa Claus scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: YPA conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: YPA registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Claus VS YPA
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
4.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Claus

(Home)
15 Apr
Santa Claus
1 : 9
OLS Oulu
14 Apr
Santa Claus
1 : 4
JS Hercules
01 Oct
Santa Claus
2 : 4
YPA
25 Sept
AC Kajaani
16 : 0
Santa Claus
17 Sept
Santa Claus
0 : 5
PPT
Page 1 of 6

YPA

(Away)
01 Oct
Santa Claus
2 : 4
YPA
25 Sept
YPA
1 : 1
PPT
18 Sept
Narpes Kraft
3 : 1
YPA
11 Sept
YPA
0 : 2
GBK Kokkola
04 Sept
JS Hercules
4 : 3
YPA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OPS 22 15 3 4 70:31 48
2 MuSa 22 15 3 4 51:18 48
3 AC Kajaani 22 14 3 5 84:24 45
4 GBK Kokkola 22 12 4 6 60:25 40
5 TP-47 22 11 4 7 37:34 37
6 YPA 22 10 3 9 40:36 33
7 Narpes Kraft 22 9 4 9 39:39 31
8 JS Hercules 22 8 4 10 39:41 28
9 VIFK 22 8 3 11 37:35 27
10 PPT 22 7 4 11 40:43 25
11 Santa Claus 22 2 2 18 24:102 8
12 Lapuan Virkia Lapua 22 2 1 19 23:116 7
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)