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Santa Cruz AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz AC play Sao Francisco FC (AC) in the Acreano 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Cruz AC averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. Sao Francisco FC (AC) averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Cruz AC won 3, Sao Francisco FC (AC) won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 12, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Santa Cruz AC and 0.76 for Sao Francisco FC (AC). This points to a Santa Cruz AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Santa Cruz AC
20%
Draws
26%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz AC picked up more points recently compared to Sao Francisco FC (AC).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Santa Cruz AC Clean Sheet 27%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz AC Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 19 35
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 2 18
Goals Scored 2.26 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Acreano
Santa Cruz AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
5:0
Oct 11, 2025 Acreano 2
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Santa Cruz AC
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Acreano 2
Santa Cruz AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Acreano 2
Santa Cruz AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz AC 54 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz AC Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Santa Cruz AC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Cruz AC attacking → ← attacking Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz AC scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Cruz AC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 43
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38