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Santa Cruz CE U20 vs Alvinegro U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Kaua
45'
Dantas Sousa F. R.
45' Event
Kaliel

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2024 game between Santa Cruz CE U20 and Alvinegro U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz CE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Santa Cruz CE U20
15%
Draws
8%
Alvinegro U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz CE U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz CE U20 come out ahead of Alvinegro U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz CE U20 a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Santa Cruz CE U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Alvinegro U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz CE U20 Alvinegro U20
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 5 0
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.78 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.11 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Cearense U20
Santa Cruz CE U20 vs Alvinegro U20
3:0
Jun 15, 2024 Cearense U20
Alvinegro U20 vs Santa Cruz CE U20
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz CE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaliel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Martins
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Alvinegro U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz CE U20 85 / 100
Alvinegro U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz CE U20 Alvinegro U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz CE U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvinegro U20 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz CE U20 scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz CE U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz CE U20 VS Alvinegro U20
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz CE U20

(Home)
14 Aug
Horizonte U20
4 : 0
Santa Cruz CE U20
27 Jul
Juventus CE U20
2 : 0
Santa Cruz CE U20
20 Jul
Santa Cruz CE U20
3 : 0
Alvinegro U20
12 Jul
CA Cearense U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz CE U20
07 Jul
Santa Cruz CE U20
1 : 0
Sao Gerardo U20
Page 1 of 2

Alvinegro U20

(Away)
07 Aug
Sao Gerardo U20
4 : 4
Alvinegro U20
27 Jul
Alvinegro U20
0 : 3
CA Cearense U20
20 Jul
Santa Cruz CE U20
3 : 0
Alvinegro U20
06 Jul
Alvinegro U20
0 : 2
Juventus CE U20
29 Jun
Juventus CE U20
4 : 0
Alvinegro U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acopiara U20 8 6 2 0 20:3 20
2 Iguatu U20 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Icasa U20 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
4 Crato U20 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
5 Cariri FC U20 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus CE U20 8 7 0 1 17:7 21
2 Santa Cruz CE U20 8 5 0 3 16:6 15
3 Sao Gerardo U20 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
4 CA Cearense U20 8 1 2 5 8:12 5
5 Alvinegro U20 8 0 2 6 6:29 2
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:9 19
2 Tirol U20 8 6 0 2 15:8 18
3 Atletico Cearense U20 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
4 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
5 Tiradentes U20 8 0 3 5 6:21 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 8 7 1 0 36:6 22
2 Ferroviario U20 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
3 Itapipoca U20 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Caucaia U20 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
5 Terra e Mar U20 8 0 1 7 1:34 1
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horizonte U20 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
2 Floresta EC U20 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
3 Pacatuba U20 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Itarema U20 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams