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Santa Cruz CE U20 vs CA Cearense U20

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Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Kaliel
73' Event
Rafael
83' Event
Kaliel

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2024 game between Santa Cruz CE U20 and CA Cearense U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz CE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz CE U20
39%
Draws
31%
CA Cearense U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Cearense U20 haven't matched Santa Cruz CE U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Santa Cruz CE U20 Clean Sheet 20%
CA Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz CE U20 CA Cearense U20
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 5 1
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2024 Cearense U20
CA Cearense U20 vs Santa Cruz CE U20
0:1
Jun 22, 2024 Cearense U20
Santa Cruz CE U20 vs CA Cearense U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz CE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaliel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CA Cearense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz CE U20 31 / 100
CA Cearense U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz CE U20 CA Cearense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Cearense U20 let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Santa Cruz CE U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz CE U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz CE U20 VS CA Cearense U20
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz CE U20

(Home)
14 Aug
Horizonte U20
4 : 0
Santa Cruz CE U20
27 Jul
Juventus CE U20
2 : 0
Santa Cruz CE U20
20 Jul
Santa Cruz CE U20
3 : 0
Alvinegro U20
12 Jul
CA Cearense U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz CE U20
07 Jul
Santa Cruz CE U20
1 : 0
Sao Gerardo U20
Page 1 of 2

CA Cearense U20

(Away)
07 Aug
CA Cearense U20
2 : 3
Juventus CE U20
27 Jul
Alvinegro U20
0 : 3
CA Cearense U20
20 Jul
Sao Gerardo U20
1 : 0
CA Cearense U20
12 Jul
CA Cearense U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz CE U20
22 Jun
Santa Cruz CE U20
3 : 0
CA Cearense U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acopiara U20862020:320
2Iguatu U20842215:1114
3Icasa U2083056:139
4Crato U2082247:128
5Cariri FC U2081254:135
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus CE U20870117:721
2Santa Cruz CE U20850316:615
3Sao Gerardo U20842215:814
4CA Cearense U2081258:125
5Alvinegro U2080266:292
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara U20861127:919
2Tirol U20860215:818
3Atletico Cearense U2083149:1210
4Alianca Futebol Clube U2081347:146
5Tiradentes U2080356:213
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza U20871036:622
2Ferroviario U20841317:1113
3Itapipoca U20841311:1013
4Caucaia U20830511:159
5Terra e Mar U2080171:341
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Horizonte U20641113:913
2Floresta EC U2062228:68
3Pacatuba U20622210:98
4Itarema U2061143:104
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams