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Santa Cruz CE U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Joao Martins
90'
Niltin

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz CE U20 in this Cearense U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz CE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Cruz CE U20
39%
Draws
30%
Sao Gerardo U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz CE U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Gerardo U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense U20 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Santa Cruz CE U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Gerardo U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz CE U20 Sao Gerardo U20
Matches Played 9 9
Wins 5 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Santa Cruz CE U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20
1:0
Jun 28, 2024 Cearense U20
Sao Gerardo U20 vs Santa Cruz CE U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz CE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sao Gerardo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz CE U20 32 / 100
Sao Gerardo U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz CE U20 Sao Gerardo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz CE U20 scored in 67% of their last 9 games.

Sao Gerardo U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Santa Cruz CE U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Gerardo U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz CE U20 VS Sao Gerardo U20
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acopiara U20862020:320
2Iguatu U20842215:1114
3Icasa U2083056:139
4Crato U2082247:128
5Cariri FC U2081254:135
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus CE U20870117:721
2Santa Cruz CE U20850316:615
3Sao Gerardo U20842215:814
4CA Cearense U2081258:125
5Alvinegro U2080266:292
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara U20861127:919
2Tirol U20860215:818
3Atletico Cearense U2083149:1210
4Alianca Futebol Clube U2081347:146
5Tiradentes U2080356:213
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza U20871036:622
2Ferroviario U20841317:1113
3Itapipoca U20841311:1013
4Caucaia U20830511:159
5Terra e Mar U2080171:341
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Horizonte U20641113:913
2Floresta EC U2062228:68
3Pacatuba U20622210:98
4Itarema U2061143:104