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Santa Cruz de Natal vs Laguna RN

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Tallison
3' Event
Luis Felipe
34' Event
Moran Maldonado I. E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Potiguar matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Cruz de Natal
33%
Draws
27%
Laguna RN
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santa Cruz de Natal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz de Natal lately — more wins on the board than Laguna RN.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz de Natal's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Potiguar form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Santa Cruz de Natal Clean Sheet 68%
Laguna RN Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz de Natal Laguna RN
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.2 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs Laguna RN
3:3
Feb 2, 2025 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs Laguna RN
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz de Natal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tallison
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Laguna RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Euller Silva
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moran Maldonado I. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz de Natal 50 / 100
Laguna RN 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz de Natal Laguna RN

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Laguna RN conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz de Natal found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Santa Cruz de Natal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz de Natal VS Laguna RN
1.2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RN752016:317
2ABC743016:515
3QFC742114:514
4Potiguar de Mossoró74217:314
5Laguna RN712412:175
6Santa Cruz de Natal71249:195
7Potyguar Seridoense71158:194
8Globo FC70257:182