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Santa Cruz MT U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Mutum EC U20 in this Matogrossense U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Mutum EC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Cruz MT U20
6%
Draws
90%
Nova Mutum EC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nova Mutum EC U20 lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz MT U20.
  • Win probability leans Nova Mutum EC U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Matogrossense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Santa Cruz MT U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT U20 Nova Mutum EC U20
Matches Played 17 24
Wins 4 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Santa Cruz MT U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Santa Cruz MT U20
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT U20 10 / 100
Nova Mutum EC U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT U20 Nova Mutum EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Santa Cruz MT U20's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Nova Mutum EC U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 24 matches.

Santa Cruz MT U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT U20 VS Nova Mutum EC U20
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dom Bosco U20642014:714
2Academia U20632114:1011
3Uniao Rondonopolis U20622211:88
4Rondonopolis EC U2060068:220
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cuiaba U20660027:018
2Acao U2062135:87
3Mixto U2061326:136
4Várzea Grande EC U2060244:212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nova Mutum EC U20660040:418
2Caceres U20631214:1010
3Santa Cruz MT U2061145:94
4Campo Novo U2061054:403
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luverdense U20641110:413
2Sinop FC U2063219:311
3Juara U2062319:69
4Sport Sinop U2060063:180