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Santa Cruz MT vs Caceres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Santa Cruz MT Logo

Santa Cruz MT

3 - 1
FT
Caceres Logo

Caceres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Santa Cruz MT and Caceres finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz MT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Santa Cruz MT
20%
Draws
36%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz MT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz MT have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Caceres are scoring more at 1.24.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz MT taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%
Caceres Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT Caceres
Matches Played 21 17
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Caceres
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 49 / 100
Caceres 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz MT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Caceres conceded in 65% of 17 recent games.

Santa Cruz MT's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Solid form: Santa Cruz MT remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT VS Caceres
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT

(Home)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 5

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)