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Santa Cruz RJ vs Macae

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Santa Cruz RJ Logo

Santa Cruz RJ

1 - 0
FT
Macae Logo

Macae

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Vitinho
77'
Marcos Vinicius
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz RJ in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Santa Cruz RJ
15%
Draws
21%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Macae haven't matched Santa Cruz RJ's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz RJ's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Macae Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Macae
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Carioca B2
Santa Cruz RJ vs Macae
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Santa Cruz RJ
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Carioca B2
Santa Cruz RJ vs Macae
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Macae Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RJ 86 / 100
Macae 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RJ Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RJ scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Macae conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz RJ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RJ VS Macae
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RJ

(Home)
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 6

Macae

(Away)
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)