Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Lima J.
53' Event
Gabriel Morbeck

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Cruz RS
40%
Draws
29%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won more games recently than Santa Cruz RS.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Brasil de Pelotas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Morbeck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 42 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Brasil de Pelotas let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Brasil de Pelotas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas2
Gramadense3