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Santa Cruz RS vs Apafut

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rafael Tanque
38' Event
Caion
45' Event
Pinto M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santa Cruz RS
35%
Draws
32%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apafut lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz RS.
  • Santa Cruz RS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 20%
Apafut Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Apafut
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 18 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Apafut
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Tanque
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Caion
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 36 / 100
Apafut 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Santa Cruz RS scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Apafut's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Apafut
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0
GE Bage
Page 1 of 7

Apafut

(Away)
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 0
Apafut
09 Sept
EC Guarani
0 : 2
Apafut
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)