Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Lima J.
53' Event
Gabriel Morbeck

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Cruz RS
40%
Draws
29%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won more games recently than Santa Cruz RS.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa FGF fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Brasil de Pelotas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Morbeck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 42 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Brasil de Pelotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Brasil de Pelotas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas0
Gramadense1