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Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Babi
34' Event
Mazia da Costa M. A.
58' Event
Fred

AI Match Summary

The Copa FGF game between Santa Cruz RS and Monsoon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz RS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Santa Cruz RS
22%
Draws
18%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Monsoon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz RS a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa FGF fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Monsoon
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 13
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 30, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fred
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Babi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 68 / 100
Monsoon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Monsoon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Monsoon conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Santa Cruz RS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Monsoon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93