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Santa Cruz RS vs Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Santa Cruz RS
35%
Draws
19%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelotas have won more games recently than Santa Cruz RS.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz RS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Pelotas
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 16 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Pelotas
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Apr 16, 2023 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Pelotas
1:1
Jun 1, 2022 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Pelotas
2:1
Apr 24, 2022 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 59 / 100
Pelotas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Pelotas let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Santa Cruz RS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Pelotas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Pelotas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 7

Pelotas

(Away)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)