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Santa Cruz U20 vs Nautico U20

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20 2023
Santa Cruz U20 Logo

Santa Cruz U20

1 - 0
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Nautico U20 Logo

Nautico U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Santa Cruz U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Santa Cruz U20
15%
Draws
46%
Nautico U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nautico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nautico U20 come out ahead of Santa Cruz U20 on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz U20 taking it.
  • Nautico U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Nautico U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz U20 Nautico U20
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 17 24
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 Pernambucano U20
Nautico U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
2:0
May 5, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Nautico U20
1:1
Jul 30, 2023 Pernambucano U20
Nautico U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
0:0
Jul 25, 2023 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Nautico U20
1:0
May 29, 2023 Pernambucano U20
Nautico U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz U20 84 / 100
Nautico U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz U20 Nautico U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz U20 scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Nautico U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz U20 VS Nautico U20
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz U20
7 : 0
Ibis Sport Club U20
23 Sept
Atletico PE U20
0 : 8
Santa Cruz U20
19 Sept
Atletico Torres U20
0 : 5
Santa Cruz U20
16 Sept
Santa Cruz U20
1 : 0
Central SC U20
12 Sept
Retro U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz U20
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Nautico U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Nautico U20
2 : 1
Jaguar U20
23 Sept
Nautico U20
7 : 0
Guarany PE U20
19 Sept
Serrano PE U20
1 : 2
Nautico U20
16 Sept
Nautico U20
3 : 1
Academica Vitoria U20
09 Sept
Nautico U20
3 : 1
America PE U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sport Recife U20 4
Atletico PE U20 0
Retro U20 8
Ibis Sport Club U20 0
Nautico U20 5
Central SC U20 2
Santa Cruz U20 3
CA Porto U20 0
Semi-finals
Sport Recife U20 3
Retro U20 3
Nautico U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Final
Retro U20 3
Santa Cruz U20 2