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Santa Cruz U20 vs Sete de Setembro (PE) U20

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz U20 play Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 in the Pernambucano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Cruz U20 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Cruz U20 won 1, Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Santa Cruz U20 and 1.06 for Sete de Setembro (PE) U20. This points to a Santa Cruz U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Santa Cruz U20
24%
Draws
28%
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Santa Cruz U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sete de Setembro (PE) U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz U20 Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Barthel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Vladson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz U20 48 / 100
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz U20 Sete de Setembro (PE) U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Cruz U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Cruz U20 attacking → ← attacking Sete de Setembro (PE) U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Santa Cruz U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 15
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nautico U20871040:522
2Santa Cruz U20862023:520
3Sete de Setembro (PE) U20842213:1114
4CA Porto U20832314:1011
5Ibis Sport Club U20832313:1111
6Aguia FC U20831412:1610
7Jaguar U2082154:157
8Santa Fe U2081164:164
9Serrano PE U2081076:403
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Retro U20870121:621
2Sport Recife U20861121:619
3Petrolina U20851216:1016
4Belo Jardim U20842215:1214
5Atletico Torres U20841313:713
6Central SC U20822414:208
7Ipojuca U2082154:77
8America PE U20812511:165
9Centro Limoeirense U2080086:370