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Santa Cruz vs Ciudad Cieza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hidalgo D.
40' Event
Hidalgo D.
88' Event
Goudani A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Santa Cruz and Ciudad Cieza finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Cieza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santa Cruz
20%
Draws
47%
Ciudad Cieza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz haven't matched Ciudad Cieza's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Ciudad Cieza
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Ciudad Cieza
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Santa Cruz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Goudani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 30 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Ciudad Cieza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Cruz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Cieza conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Ciudad Cieza
1.14 Goals Scored 2.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
02 May
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Real Murcia B
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Ciudad Cieza

(Away)
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)