Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Club Universitario de Vinto

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Real Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Mercado A. In: Caicedo J.
Out: Mercado A.
58'
Camacho Almanza D. A.
69'
Sub
Nunez M. In: Llano R.
Out: Nunez M.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional 2024 game between Santa Cruz and Club Universitario de Vinto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
59%
Club Universitario de Vinto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Universitario de Vinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Universitario de Vinto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club Universitario de Vinto a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 26%
Club Universitario de Vinto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Club Universitario de Vinto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Club Universitario de Vinto
1:1
Jul 19, 2024 Division Profesional
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Club Universitario de Vinto
0:0
May 28, 2023 Division Profesional
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Nov 3, 2022 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Club Universitario de Vinto
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Club Universitario de Vinto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 10 / 100
Club Universitario de Vinto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Club Universitario de Vinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Universitario de Vinto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Universitario de Vinto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Club Universitario de Vinto
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3
Santa Cruz
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5
Tomayapo
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2
Santa Cruz
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

Club Universitario de Vinto

(Away)
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
17 Sept
Blooming
1 : 1
Club Universitario de Vinto
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Independiente
09 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 2
The Strongest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 30 20 7 3 76:25 67
2 The Strongest 30 18 6 6 62:34 60
3 GV San Jose 30 14 6 10 62:40 48
4 Aurora 30 12 12 6 49:40 48
5 Always Ready 30 13 7 10 48:37 46
6 Nacional Potosi 30 13 7 10 52:47 46
7 Blooming 30 13 6 11 36:43 45
8 Jorge Wilstermann 30 11 11 8 35:30 44
9 Tomayapo 30 13 4 13 41:41 43
10 Independiente 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
11 Oriente Petrolero 30 10 5 15 44:58 35
12 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 9 7 14 36:47 34
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 8 7 15 40:58 31
14 Guabira 30 8 6 16 36:53 30
15 Royal Pari 30 7 8 15 30:46 29
16 Santa Cruz 30 6 4 20 30:68 22
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)