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Santa Cruz vs Cotillas CD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz host Cotillas CD in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Santa Cruz at 1.1 goals for, 1.24 against; Cotillas CD at 1.4 for, 1.6 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.40) point toward Cotillas CD. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
35%
Cotillas CD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of Cotillas CD on wins alone.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 17%
Cotillas CD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Cotillas CD
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 10 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 30 / 100
Cotillas CD 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Cotillas CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cotillas CD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Cotillas CD registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Cotillas CD
1 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Cotillas CD

(Away)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)