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Santa Cruz vs Defensa y Justicia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Fernandez D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Santa Cruz and Defensa y Justicia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
Defensa y Justicia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia haven't matched Santa Cruz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Defensa y Justicia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Santa Cruz vs Defensa y Justicia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 95 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Defensa y Justicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensa y Justicia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Defensa y Justicia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Defensa y Justicia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.29
50% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
14 Jun
Brusque
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
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Defensa y Justicia

(Away)
24 Jul
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1
Aldosivi
16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
23 Apr
Defensa y Justicia
0 : 4
Boca Juniors
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
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