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Santa Cruz vs FC Cartagena SAD B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cancela C.
51'
Moreno Sabater A.
70' Event
Cancela C.

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cartagena SAD B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Cruz
30%
Draws
34%
FC Cartagena SAD B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than FC Cartagena SAD B.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz FC Cartagena SAD B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs FC Cartagena SAD B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cancela C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 36 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz FC Cartagena SAD B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD B has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

FC Cartagena SAD B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS FC Cartagena SAD B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427