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Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Grecia

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ledezma J.
55' Event
Balmaceda L.
57' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Santa Cruz and Grecia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grecia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz
20%
Draws
50%
Grecia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz haven't matched Grecia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Grecia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Grecia
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Grecia
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Grecia
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Santa Cruz
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Grecia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledezma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Balmaceda L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 34 / 100
Grecia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Grecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Grecia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Grecia
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
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Grecia

(Away)
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Rosario
3 : 2
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
2 Quepos FC 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Grecia 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
4 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 8 2 0 6 11:18 6
7 Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
4 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
5 Cariari Pococi 7 3 3 1 9:7 12
6 FC Moravia 9 3 1 5 12:10 10
7 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Guadalupe 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)