Sport Picks
Santa Cruz vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Real Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz 
Match Events
10'
10'
Godoy J.
Assist: Thomaz
18'
18'
Suarez R.
24'
24'
Porozo D.
AI Match Summary
Independiente in this Division Profesional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
- Independiente are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Division Profesional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 17%
Independiente Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 28, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Independiente
0:2
Aug 20, 2024 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Santa Cruz
3:0
Dec 2, 2023 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Jun 4, 2023 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Independiente
1:0
Oct 28, 2022 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Independiente
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Cruz Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Godoy J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Porozo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Cruz 10 / 100
Independiente 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Cruz Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Independiente has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Solid form: Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Independiente
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Cruz
(Home) 20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3 Santa Cruz
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5 Tomayapo
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2 Santa Cruz
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Guabira
Page 1 of 6
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5 Tomayapo
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Guabira
28 Nov
Santa Cruz
0 : 2 Independiente
29 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1 Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 3
Independiente
(Away) 07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1 Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3 Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 8
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1 Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3 Independiente
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
01 Sept
Tomayapo
3 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 76:25 | 67 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 62:34 | 60 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 62:40 | 48 |
| 4 | Aurora | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:40 | 48 |
| 5 | Always Ready | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 48:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 52:47 | 46 |
| 7 | Blooming | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:43 | 45 |
| 8 | Jorge Wilstermann | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 35:30 | 44 |
| 9 | Tomayapo | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 10 | Independiente | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 48:58 | 36 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:58 | 35 |
| 12 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 40:58 | 31 |
| 14 | Guabira | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36:53 | 30 |
| 15 | Royal Pari | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30:46 | 29 |
| 16 | Santa Cruz | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 30:68 | 22 |
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)
