Sport Picks

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Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Apr 12, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz play Municipal Turrialba in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Cruz averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Municipal Turrialba averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Cruz won 0, Municipal Turrialba won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Santa Cruz and 1.00 for Municipal Turrialba. This points to a Municipal Turrialba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz
40%
Draws
30%
Municipal Turrialba
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Municipal Turrialba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz picked up more points recently compared to Municipal Turrialba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 23%
Municipal Turrialba Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Municipal Turrialba
Matches Played 26 10
Wins 6 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.08 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 32 / 100
Municipal Turrialba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Municipal Turrialba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Municipal Turrialba or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Cruz attacking → ← attacking Municipal Turrialba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 12
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos Cambute1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4Consultants Desamparados1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00